Market Size Forecast for the Brick Machine Industry in the Next Five Years: Key Drivers and Growth Bottlenecks Analysis

Market Size Forecast for the Brick Machine Industry in the Next Five Years: Key Drivers and Growth Bottlenecks Analysis

Abstract This paper aims to systematically forecast the market size of the global and Chinese brick machine industry from 2024 to 2028, and deeply analyze the key drivers and growth bottlenecks affecting the industry's development. The study employs a combination of quantitative models and qualitative analysis, comprehensively considering multiple variables such as policy environment, technological iteration, market demand, and supply chain synergy. The results show that, driven by the "dual-carbon" strategy and green building policies, the brick machine industry will enter a structural upgrading stage centered on "intelligentization, environmental protection, and high efficiency," but it also faces challenges such as raw material fluctuations, a shortage of technical talent, and structural overcapacity. This paper aims to provide forward-looking strategic reference for industry participants.

Keywords Brick machine industry; market size forecast; driving factors; growth bottlenecks; green transformation; intelligent manufacturing; solid waste resource utilization; overcapacity

1. Introduction

As a core piece of equipment in the building materials industry, the development trend of brick machines directly reflects the progress of the construction industry's transformation and upgrading. Currently, global green and low-carbon policies are being continuously strengthened, and new urbanization, urban renewal, and building industrialization are accelerating, bringing unprecedented opportunities and challenges to the brick-making machine industry. However, existing research mostly focuses on short-term market fluctuations, lacking systematic predictions of medium-term trends, especially insufficient analysis of the interaction mechanism between driving factors and bottlenecks. This study aims to reveal the development logic and path of the brick-making machine industry from 2024 to 2028 by constructing a three-dimensional analysis framework of "policy-technology-market".

2. Market Size Forecasting Methods and Model Construction

2.1 Forecast Scope and Data Sources
This study covers major global markets (China, Europe, North America, Southeast Asia) and product types (traditional brick-making machines, pallet-free brick-making machines, intelligent block production lines, etc.). Data comes from authoritative industry reports, corporate financial reports, policy documents, and field surveys, spanning from 2018 to 2023. Trend extrapolation and variable adjustments are based on this data.

2.2 Forecast Model Design
The model employs a combination of a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) model and scenario analysis:

Baseline Scenario: Assuming existing policies and technological trends continue smoothly;

Optimistic Scenario: Green building policies are implemented beyond expectations, and technological breakthroughs accelerate;

Conservative Scenario: Macroeconomic downturn and persistently high raw material costs.

2.3 Forecast Results
Market Region | 2023 Size (RMB 100 Million) | 2028 Forecast Size (RMB 100 Million) | CAGR
China | 320 | 480-520 | 8%-10%
Global | 850 | 1,200-1,300 | 7%-9%
Note: The growth rate of high-end intelligent equipment and environmentally friendly brick making machines is expected to be higher than the industry average.

3. In-depth Analysis of Key Driving Factors

3.1 Policy-Driven: Green Building and Circular Economy

“Dual Carbon” Target Constraints: The construction industry accounts for up to 40% of carbon emissions, driving the transformation of brick-making machines towards low energy consumption and low emissions;

Solid Waste Resource Utilization Policies: Mandatory increases in the utilization rate of construction waste and industrial solid waste stimulate demand for environmentally friendly brick-making machines;

Green Building Materials Certification System: Driving market growth for high-strength, lightweight, and self-insulating block production equipment.

3.2 Technology-Driven: Intelligentization and Process Innovation

Industrial Internet Integration: Technologies such as digital twins and predictive maintenance enhance the full life-cycle value of equipment;

Mature Pallet-Free Technology: Reducing pallet costs by more than 30%, becoming the mainstream choice for new production lines;

Breakthroughs in Solid Waste Adaptation Processes: The blending of fly ash, tailings, etc., has increased to over 50%, broadening raw material sources.

3.3 Market Drivers: Demand Upgrading and Model Innovation

New Urbanization Improvement: Higher requirements for the strength, appearance, and functionality of building blocks drive equipment upgrades;

Emerging Leasing Models: Lowering the initial investment threshold for SMEs and accelerating equipment replacement cycles;

Belt and Road Initiative Going Global: Infrastructure demand in Southeast Asia and Africa drives a 15%-20% annual increase in China's brick-making machine exports.

4. Growth Bottlenecks and Risk Factors

4.1 Supply-Side Bottlenecks

Raw Material Price Fluctuations: Steel, hydraulic components, etc., account for over 40% of costs, making them highly price-sensitive;

Shortage of Technical Personnel: A shortage of over 30% of personnel with expertise in intelligent control and process design;

Overcapacity in Low-End Industries: The utilization rate of homogeneous traditional equipment is less than 60%, dragging down industry profits.

4.2 Demand-Side Constraints

Cyclical Downturn in the Construction Industry: The extended adjustment period in the real estate market affects short-term equipment investment intentions;

Regional Market Differentiation: Demand in the eastern coastal areas is mainly driven by high-end upgrades, while price competition remains dominant in the central and western regions;

International Certification Barriers: Upgraded standards such as EU CE and North American UL increase export costs and timelines. 4.3 Systemic Risks
Policy Implementation Gap: Uneven enforcement of environmental regulations across different regions affects the pace of green equipment promotion.
Technological Iteration Risk: Emerging technologies (such as 3D printed blocks) may put pressure on traditional brick-making machines to replace them.
Supply Chain Vulnerability: Import dependence on core components (servo motors, precision hydraulic valves) remains above 50%.

5. Industry Response Strategies
5.1 Enterprise Level:
Product Structural Upgrading: Focus on high-end models such as pallet-free, intelligent maintenance, and high solid waste content machines.
Service-Oriented Transformation: Promote integrated solutions of "equipment + process package + operation and maintenance."
Supply Chain Resilience Building: Domestic substitution of key components and establishment of a strategic inventory mechanism.

5.2 Industry Level
Standardization System Construction: Promote the formulation of industry standards such as intelligent brick-making machines and carbon footprint accounting.
Joint Talent Training: Establish a specialized skills certification system through university-enterprise cooperation.
Capacity Optimization Collaboration: Establish a mechanism for eliminating outdated equipment and replacing excess capacity.

5.3 Policy Recommendations

Strengthen policy coordination: Include the green transformation of brick-making machines in the scope of energy conservation and emission reduction subsidies;

Support technological breakthroughs: Establish special R&D funds for solid waste utilization and intelligent control;

Guide international cooperation: Promote the mutual recognition of Chinese green brick-making machine standards with international standards.

6. Conclusion and Outlook
In the next five years, the brick-making machine industry will exhibit a development trend of "steady growth in total volume and accelerated optimization of structure," driven by both policy and technological innovation. Enterprises with core capabilities in green and intelligent manufacturing will reap the benefits of excess growth, while homogeneous and high-energy-consuming production capacity will be gradually eliminated. The focus of industry competition will shift from price to the entire life cycle value, with service-oriented, internationalized, and collaborative approaches becoming key to breaking through the current challenges. It is recommended that all parties seize the window of opportunity, drive innovation to navigate the cycle, and jointly build a new ecosystem for an efficient, low-carbon, and sustainable brick-making machine industry.